Democratic presidential hopeful Andrew Yang thinks so. Ronald Bailey Climate Change. Environmental Protection Agency. Congress wants to know if the agency is strengthening transparency or silencing science. Eating meat doesn't have as big of an impact on the environment as you've been told. Sea level rise is accelerating and marine heatwaves are becoming more common. Ronald Bailey 9. Slowing or stopping economic growth will only delay solving the problems caused by man-made warming.
Or, will global leaders ignore them just like they did the People's Climate March in ? Environmental commons like the Amazon rain forest are vulnerable to shifts in the fickle winds of politics. Ronald Bailey 8. Problematic deforestation continues, but the "lungs of the earth" are still breathing. Rising temperatures are mostly happening in the winter and at night. Human Progress.
Pestilence, war, famine, and death are all on the decline. Climate change is a problem, but the end of the world is not scheduled for Going vegetarian would reduce a person's greenhouse gas emissions by around 2 percent. Ronald Bailey 7. The number of children that families choose to have is none of the government's business. A fierce, but friendly, antagonist in various bioethical controversies. Gene Editing.
The difference between two identical genes—one edited and the other a natural mutation—is entirely metaphysical. Human embryo. It also protects and restores imperiled biodiversity.
A new study finds no dramatic and widespread economic effects from colony collapse disorder. Research suggests that inundations are increasing because climate change makes hurricanes linger longer. The good news is that normalized losses from hurricanes aren't increasing. Donald Trump. Facial Recognition.
How many planets are in the solar system?
State DMVs are building a vast national digital identification database for federal law enforcement. Thanks to global expansion of reproductive freedom, actual population growth is likely to be less and peak around the middle this century. Ronald Bailey 6. This will fail and more pressing problems will be neglected.
New technologies mean new crimesolving techniques—and new threats to privacy and liberty. The agency is mum on how many people are impacted. We can still say no to mass surveillance. Worst-case scenarios mislead far more than they enlighten. Thanks to the ultimate resource: the human mind. Ronald Bailey 5.
Taking Free Market Environmentalism Global
Rare Earth. China's export restrictions on rare earth compounds failed then, and they would fail now. Or are Americans simply wising up to the dangers posed by cops having their "face prints" on file? Preventing a slow march toward automated authoritarianism? But even that might be overstating likely future population. That would mean that world population would top out at 7. There is no good reason to believe that overpopulation will become a serious problem for the world. On the contrary, the more likely problem is that an aging world population will put greater stress on younger workers to provide for older, disabled persons.
Only genuine barriers to human flourishing create the problems associated with "overpopulation"; attacking problems such as poverty head-on is a far better way of improving human welfare and upholding human dignity than simply deeming certain lives unworthy of living and so, in the name of fighting "overpopulation," embracing abortion, euthanasia, and other actions that undermine the sanctity and dignity of human life. Global Warming Global warming is the biggest of all environmental dangers at present, maintain many environmentalists.
Ironically, the great fear thirty years ago was of global cooling, for scientists recognized then that the earth is nearing a downward turn in its millennia-long cycle of rising and falling temperatures, correlated with cycles in solar energy output. But no more. Now people fear that rising atmospheric carbon dioxide, called a "greenhouse gas" because it traps solar heat in the atmosphere rather than allowing it to radiate back into space, will cause global average temperatures to rise.
The rising temperatures, they fear, will melt polar ice caps, raise sea levels, cause deserts to expand, and generate more and stronger hurricanes and other storms.
- Earth Report 2000: Revisiting the True State of the Planet.
- Lauries Story: Discovering Joy In Adversity?
- Ronald Bailey | Cato Unbound.
- Observing Earth from the Moon.
- Choral Music in the Twentieth Century.
Are there good reasons for these fears? While atmospheric carbon dioxide co 2 is certainly on the rise, and global average temperature has almost certainly risen slightly in the last years or so, it is by no means certain that the rising temperature stems from the rising co 2.
The most important contrary indicator is that the sequence is the reverse of what the theory would predict. Almost all of the approximately 0.
ExxonSecrets Factsheet: Ronald Bailey
If the rising co 2 was responsible for the rising average temperature, the reverse should have been the case. In addition, roughly two-thirds of the overall increase is attributable to natural, not manmade, causes primarily changes in solar energy output. Highly speculative computer climate models drove the great fears of global warming that arose in the s and endured through the s. Early versions of those models predicted that a doubling of atmospheric co 2 would cause global average temperature to increase by 5 o C or more nearly 10 o F.
As the models have been refined through the years, however, their warming predictions have moderated considerably. In , the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ipcc predicted, on the basis of the computer models, global average temperature increase of 3.
Even that latest prediction is likely to turn out much too high, for it still is based on models that, had they been applied to the past century, would have predicted twice as much warming as actually occurred. As Roy W. All measurement systems agree that was the warmest year on record. These discrepancies were reported in a study prepared by the National Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences and published in January After correcting the surface data for a variety of contaminating factors, a team of researchers produced new estimates of surface temperatures that yielded apparent decadal trends that were 0.
The differences, however, are still highly significant, since the corrected surface data trends are still percent to percent higher than the satellite-recorded lower troposphere trends. But the data—to the extent that both sets are to be trusted—now show the opposite to be true. The significance of this is that the computer models clearly remain far from accurate enough in their depiction of atmospheric temperatures, which suggests that policy makers should be very slow to base their decisions on model predictions.
Not only is the actual global warming that is to be expected far from what the ipcc and other climate modelers originally predicted, but it is also questionable whether global warming is likely to bring many harmful effects. There are several reasons for this. Most important, increasingly refined models now indicate—and empirical observation has confirmed—that the majority of the warming will occur in the winter, at night, and in polar latitudes.
Instead, nighttime warming during the winter, to the extent that it affects populated areas at all, should result in a slight decrease in energy consumption for heating and, therefore, some reduction in future emissions and a slight lengthening of the growing season in spring and autumn. Further, whatever rise in global average temperature occurs will likely result not in expanding but in contracting deserts, and not in contracting but in expanding polar ice caps.
More water evaporates in warmer temperatures. But air circulates over all of it. But the enhanced precipitation at the poles is likely to enlarge polar ice caps, offsetting a long-term natural rise in sea level. As environmental scientist S. Fred Singer points out in reviewing a variety of studies of sea level trends,.